Same system. 100,000 different outcomes.
Why simulation.
The math on any way of playing stops at a house edge and an expected value. Both true, neither
says what a night can actually win, what it can actually lose, or what the ride in between
feels like. A simulation does: it plays the thing out, 100,000 times.
What the math hands you 1.41% house edge
−$14 expected value per $1,000 wagered
Averages across millions of rolls. No single night ever lands on them.
What it can't tell you - What can a good night actually pay?
- How deep can a bad one dig?
- What do the swings in between feel like?
What a simulation shows instead
Instead of one example session The full distribution.
Any single session could have gone another way. The report lines up all 100,000: the typical night, the best one, the worst bust, and how often each actually shows up.
← Most lost Most won →
−1,500 0 +1,500
The Arnold · all 100,000 sessions
Instead of an expected-value number The most likely outcomes.
Expected value is an average no single player ever actually banks. The report shows where sessions really land: how often the system wins, by how much, and what the ride is like.
Middle 50%
−1,500 0 +1,500
The Arnold · half of all sessions land in the band
Inside every run
Every roll
A bot sits through the whole session one roll at a time. No skipping ahead, no cherry-picked hot streaks.
Every bet
It places the bets like a player would: press on cue, regress on cue, hedge exactly when the rules say hedge.
Every stop rule
Win goal, loss limit, session clock. When the system says walk, the bot walks.
Every system has a catch. Across 100,000 bots, it has nowhere to hide.